Sahm Capital Financial Company (“Sahm Capital”), a fintech- driven financial company licensed by the Capital Market Authority ...

Former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm views a rate hike as the “appropriate policy” for the Fed’s meeting next week, as she is “no longer confident” inflation will return to 2% without it.

Global stock markets faced an air pocket on Monday, leading investors to rely on the "Sahm rule," a highly accurate recession indicator, to assess whether the U.S. economy is in recession. The Sahm ...

Sahm was the economist who introduced the so-called Sahm Rule in 2019. It states that the initial phase of a recession has started when the three-month moving average of the U.S. unemployment rate is ...

Analysts' favorite gauge of the U.S. economy's health comes from data. And at the moment, the numbers look okay…ish. Hiring is down, but unemployment hasn't spiked. Inflation isn't ballooning (as ...

Even economist Claudia Sahm admits that her namesake recession indicator isn’t always a guarantee that the economy is headed toward a downturn. Sahm, an economist who previously worked at the Federal ...

There's a new recession indicator that's making waves, and it says there's a 40% probability the US is already in a recession. The economists Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez recently released the ...

You're currently following this author! Click to unsubscribe from email alerts. A recession indicator with a near-perfect record is flashing — but its creator told ...