Anthropic will go public before OpenAI, according to betting platform Kalshi—ninety-three percent of those making predictions say so. Because the figure doesn’t have to add to 100, 11% predict OpenAI will go first.

Trade Anthropic before its IPO: learn how IG’s pre-IPO market works, what valuation traders take a position on and how settlement is calculated.

They were triggered by warnings from researchers at Anthropic that there were credible fears within the company that AI could wipe out humanity in a matter of years. It is unusual, to say the least, for people within a firm to publicly air such doomsday warnings about their most cutting-edge products.

As Anthropic meets with prospective investors ahead of its potentially historic market debut, CEO Dario Amodei is pushing for a slowdown in AI.

Amazon's second act arrived in November 2024, when it invested another $4 billion. Although the e-commerce and cloud computing giant did not publish a specific valuation for Anthropic during this funding, private markets estimated the start-up was worth around $40 billion.

Anthropic has reportedly selected Nasdaq for its planned initial public offering, according to Reuters, marking another significant step toward what could become one of the largest technology listings ever completed.

Anthropic’s path to what would rank as one of the largest technology IPOs ever collided this week with a very old problem: what a company can and cannot say about its own product once it enters the SEC’s formal review window.