These events remain relevant largely because they occurred during an extended period of geopolitical stability that ran from the late 1990s through to the early 2020s. When shocks did occur, they ...

Domenico Giannone, an internationally recognized thought leader in econometrics and macroeconomic forecasting, is searching for innovative methods to better understand the complexities of global ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...

CEO of Paul M. Wendee & Associates, LLC; Publisher of the Intrinsic Value Wealth Report Newsletter; Founder of the Value Driver Institute. To make sound business and investment decisions, business ...

Will the world still need economists in 2030? With skin in the game, we certainly hope so — but artificial intelligence is already transforming economic analysis. In our own work — and in a review of ...

Grey forecasting models represent a class of mathematical techniques designed to generate predictions from limited and often uncertain data. Rooted in grey system theory, these models emphasise the ...

Few industries are so sensitive to the whims of the economy as construction. Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, inflation and regulation have left many businesses feeling as though they just ...

It’s officially economic forecast season. As punctual as any holiday tradition, all the gurus polish their crystal balls to reveal their glossy business outlooks for the coming year. Their work is ...

Economic forecasts rarely hit the mark as reality is full of surprises. Thankfully we can learn from the patterns of forecast errors. They shed light ...

Heat stress is widely recognized as a critical risk factor in livestock systems. Rising temperatures and humidity levels can ...